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Table 3 GDP per capita growth models with commodity boom and Latin American dummies and breakdown of commodity exports

From: Does the commodities boom support the export led growth hypothesis? Evidence from Latin American countries

Variables

Model ore

Model agri

Model fuel

Model food

Model manu

Constant

0.5207

0.2199

0.3791

1.3822*

0.3157 

Capital formation

0.1238***

0.1226***

0.1239***

0.1231***

0.1251***

Export growth

0.1493***

0.1515***

0.1520***

0.1446***

0.1391***

Trade partner growth

−0.0061

−0.0055

−0.0078

−0.0035

−0.0077

GDP 1990

0.0092

0.0157 

0.0251 

−0.0681 

−0.1237*

Boom comm. period dummy

−0.0395

0.1728

−0.1946

0.1026

0.2171

LAC × boom

−0.3265

0.3340

−0.2970

0.1358

0.8854

Capital formation × boom

−0.0228

−0.0220

−0.0251

−0.0243

−0.0232

Export growth × boom

0.0433**

0.0420**

0.0432**

0.0426**

0.0389**

Trade partner growth × boom

0.0599***

0.0594***

0.0610***

0.0572***

0.0606***

Capital formation × LAC × boom

0.0078

0.0076

0.0086

0.0085

0.0075

Export growth × LAC × boom

0.0272

0.0317

0.0320

0.0363

0.0351

Trade partner growth × LAC × boom

0.0009

−0.0046

−0.0010

−0.0054

0.0006

DEXPO_?

−0.0533***

−0.0534***

−0.0548***

−0.0506***

−0.0482***

DEXPO_?(1)

0.0114

0.0127

0.0120

0.0106

0.0077

DEXPO_?(−1)

−0.0307***

−0.0303***

−0.0311***

−0.0289***

−0.0277***

Ore and mineral exports

−0.0297***

    

Ore and mineral exports × boom

0.0095

    

Ore and mineral exports × boom × LAC

0.0276**

    

Agricultural raw mat. exports

 

0.0080

   

Agricultural raw mat. exports × boom

 

−0.0283**

   

Agricultural raw mat. exports × boom × LAC

 

−0.1437**

   

Fuel exports

  

−0.0159***

  

Fuel exports × boom

  

0.0179***

  

Fuel exports × boom × LAC

  

0.0085

  

Food exports

   

−0.0180***

 

Food exports × boom

   

−0.0110*

 

Food exports × boom × LAC

   

−0.0003

 

Manufactured exports

    

0.0220***

Manufactured exports × boom

    

−0.0043

Manufactured exports × boom × LAC

    

−0.0194***

R 2

0.4596

0.4568

0.4600

0.4656

0.4716

Adjusted R 2

0.4535

0.4507

0.4539

0.4594

0.4656

Log likelihood

−3856

−3868

−3843

−3855

−3846

F-statistic

74.79

74.15

74.77

76.79

78.69

Prob (F-statistic)

0.0000

0.0000

0.0000

0.0000

0.0000

Akaike info criterion

4.8383

4.8410

4.8312

4.8249

4.8134

Schwarz criterion

4.9021

4.9046

4.8950

4.8885

4.8771

Hannan-Quinn criter.

4.8619

4.8646

4.8549

4.8485

4.8370

Durbin-Watson stat

1.2698

1.2537

1.2679

1.2744

1.2968

  1. ***, **, * Mean statistical significance at 1, 5 and 10 %