Left-hand-side variable | Fixed-effect estimation of Eq. (4) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Difference GMM estimation | Fixed-effect est. | ||||
Consumption (t) | Gini (t) | Poverty (t) | Â | Poverty (t) | |
Specification A: with year effects only | |||||
 Consumption (t − 1) | 0.4226*** (0.0971) | − 0.1097*** (0.0221) | − 0.1287*** (0.0356) | Consumption (t) | − 0.4171*** (0.0157) |
 Gini (t − 1) | − 1.7569*** (0.2277) | 0.1411* (0.0784) | 0.2846** (0.1125) | Gini (t) | 1.0689*** (0.0494) |
Wald χ2-test (Chi2(12)) | 379.57*** | 103.39*** |  |  |  |
No. of instruments | 67 | 67 | Â | Â | Â |
Arellano–Bond test (Order 2) | 0.1642 | 0.7957 |  |  |  |
Sargan test (54) | 0.9536 | 0.8414 | Â | Â | Â |
R-squared | Â | Â | 0.61 | Â | 0.89 |
Specification B: with year effects and controls | |||||
 Consumption (t − 1) | 0.4818*** (0.1187) | − 0.1048*** (0.0260) | − 0.1229*** (0.0409) | Consumption (t) | − 0.4349*** (0.0188) |
 Gini (t − 1) | − 1.7196*** (0.2335) | 0.1326 (0.0839) | 0.2815** (0.1058) | Gini (t) | 1.0610*** (0.0438) |
 Education (t − 1) | − 0.4117 (0.2881) | 0.0140 (0.0846) | 0.1221 (0.1285) | Education (t) | 0.1576*** (0.0370) |
 Urban (t − 1) | − 0.1266 (0.1230) | − 0.0226 (0.0487) | 0.1223* (0.0681) | Urban (t) | 0.1637*** (0.0201) |
 Tertiary sector (t − 1) | − 0.3273 (0.2193) | − 0.0302 (0.0784) | − 0.1577 (0.0886)* | Tertiary sector (t) | 0.0034 (0.0419) |
 Aged (t − 1) | − 1.1168 (0.7447) | 0.0603 (0.2920) | 0.3138 (0.2742) | Aged (t) | − 0.0022 (0.1382) |
 Intercept | 5.2651*** (0.8470) | 1.2681*** (0.1898) | 1.0952*** (0.3002) | Intercept | 3.1240*** (0.1331) |
Wald χ2-test (Chi2(16)) | 431.21*** | 144.99*** |  |  |  |
No. of instruments | 71 | 71 | Â | Â | Â |
Arellano–Bond test (Order 2) | 0.1753 | 0.8226 |  |  |  |
Sargan test (54) | 0.7747 | 0.8315 | Â | Â | Â |
R-squared | Â | Â | 0.63 | Â | 0.91 |