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Table 3 Conditional effects of de Jure and de Facto political institutions on long-run development, 1850–2012

From: The rise and fall of Argentina

 

Full sample

Without Argentina

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

(7)

(8)

De jure and de facto political institutions

 De jure (latent)

0.026*** (0.001)

0.026*** (0.001)

0.021*** (0.002)

0.018*** (0.001)

0.027*** (0.001)

0.026*** (0.001)

0.021*** (0.002)

0.018*** (0.001)

 De facto (latent)

0.022*** (0.001)

0.022*** (0.001)

0.022*** (0.001)

0.022*** (0.001)

0.022*** (0.001)

0.022*** (0.002)

0.023*** (0.001)

0.022*** (0.001)

Geography covariates

 Latitude

 

− 0.002 (0.001)

− 0.003*** (0.001)

− 0.004*** (0.001)

 

− 0.001 (0.002)

− 0.003* (0.001)

− 0.004*** (0.001)

 Longitude

 

− 0.001** (0.0008)

− 0.003*** (0.0008)

− 0.005*** (0.0009)

 

−0.001** (0.0008)

− 0.003*** (0.0008)

− 0.005*** (0.0009)

 Terrain ruggedness

 

− 0.045 (0.049)

− 0.021 (0.039)

− 0.056 (0.045)

 

− 0.037 (0.050)

− 0.019 (0.041)

0.059 (0.048)

 Soil quality

 

0.0006 (0.002)

− 0.0006 (0.002)

− 0.001 (0.002)

 

0.001 (0.002)

− 0.0005 (0.003)

0.001 (0.003)

 Desert

 

0.008 (0.009)

− 0.006 (0.010)

− 0.027*** (0.009)

 

0.014 (0.012)

− 0.005 (0.012)

− 0.025*** (0.009)

 Tropical

 

0.0002 (0.001)

0.001 (0.001)

0.003** (0.001)

 

0.0008 (0.002)

0.001 (0.001)

0.003*** (0.001)

 Distance to coast

 

0.001 (0.001)

0.003*** (0.001)

0.003*** (0.001)

 

0.001 (0.001)

0.003*** (0.001)

0.003** (0.001)

 Landlocked

 

0.263 (0.270)

0.086 (0.192)

− 0.493** (0.206)

 

0.232 (0.279)

0.077 (0.197)

− 0.501** (0.212)

 Precipitation

 

− 0.230** (0.106)

− 0.361*** (0.148)

− 0.242*** (0.068)

 

− 0.215* (0.118)

− 0.363*** (0.101)

− 0.239*** (0.082)

Legal history covariates

 English common law

  

− 0.381*** (0.148)

− 0.653*** (0.147)

  

− 0.381*** (0.146)

− 0.652*** (0.143)

 French civil law

  

− 0.528*** (0.131)

− 0.881*** (0.138)

  

− 0.529*** (0.131)

− 0.875*** (0.141)

 German civil law

  

omitted

omitted

  

omitted

omitted

 Scandinavian civil law

  

− 0.567*** (0.148)

− 0.817*** (0.160)

  

− 0.570*** (0.149)

− 0.810*** (0.179)

Culture covariates

 Ethnic fractionalization

   

− 0.808*** (0.346)

   

− 0.789*** (0.339)

 Linguistic fractionalization

   

1.134*** (0.386)

   

1.126*** (0.385)

 Religious fractionalization

   

− 0.186 (0.202)

   

− 0.178 (0.225)

 Constant term

6.701*** (0.100)

8.316*** (0.698)

9.641*** (0.655)

9.092*** (0.539)

6.673*** (0.098)

8.116*** (0.827)

9.642*** (0.763)

9.026*** (0.746)

 Number of observations

4564

4564

4564

4564

4401

4401

4401

4401

 Number of countries

28

28

28

28

27

27

27

27

 Number of years

163

163

163

163

163

163

163

163

 Wald test (p-value)

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

0.000

 Adjusted R2

0.73

0.76

0.77

0.78

0.74

0.76

0.77

0.78

  1. The table presents the effects of de jure and de facto political institutions on long-run development. The outcome variable is the natural log of per capita GDP (1990 Geary–Khamis international $). Standard errors are adjusted for the serially correlated stochastic disturbances across and within countries using the finite-sample distribution function, intraclass multiway clustering scheme (Cameron et al. 2011). The asterisks denote statistically significant coefficients at 10 percent (*), 5 percent (**), and 1 percent (***)