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Table 2 Changes in the wage premium and the relative supply and demand for unskilled workers (high school dropouts) assuming alternative values for elasticity σHD.

From: Educational upgrading and returns to skills in Latin America: evidence from a supply–demand framework

Country

High school dropouts

Wage premium

Relative supply

Relative demand (σSU= 2)

Relative demand (σSU= 3)

Relative demand (σSU= 4)

1990s

2000s

2010s

1990s

2000s

2010s

1990s

2000s

2010s

1990s

2000s

2010s

1990s

2000s

2010s

Argentina

1.1

− 1.7

− 1.7

1.6

5.6

3.3

3.8

2.2

− 0.1

4.9

0.5

− 1.8

6.0

− 1.2

− 3.4

Bolivia

− 

− 4.0

1.8

7.3

4.8

− 0.7

8.4

− 4.8

10.3

− 8.8

12.1

Brazil

− 1.4

− 2.3

− 2.9

6.1

7.1

6.8

3.4

2.5

1.0

2.0

0.2

− 1.9

0.6

− 2.1

− 4.8

Chile

0.5

− 2.1

− 1.5

6.9

4.3

4.5

8.0

0.2

1.4

8.5

− 1.9

− 0.1

9.0

− 3.9

− 1.6

Colombia

− 1.7

0.0

− 1.2

6.7

5.3

4.3

3.2

5.2

2.0

1.5

5.1

0.8

− 0.3

5.1

− 0.4

Costa Rica

− 0.5

− 0.5

1.3

1.2

2.5

5.0

0.2

1.5

7.6

− 0.3

0.9

8.9

− 

− 2.4

8.5

Ecuador

− 

− 1.2

0.2

4.6

− 0.3

5.1

1.7

− 2.6

5.4

0.3

− 3.8

5.6

− 1.2

− 5.0

5.7

Honduras

0.0

− 1.9

0.6

2.5

2.4

7.9

2.6

− 1.4

9.2

2.7

− 3.3

9.8

2.7

− 5.2

10.5

Mexico

− 1.4

− 1.2

0.2

4.6

− 0.3

5.1

1.7

4.0

1.4

3.5

− 

1.2

3.1

Nicaragua

− 0.2

− 0.4

− 

2.1

4.9

2.2

1.3

2.7

1.9

− 0.6

3.3

1.6

− 2.6

3.9

Panama

− 0.3

− 2.0

0.6

2.9

5.3

1.6

2.2

1.3

2.7

1.9

− 0.6

3.3

1.6

− 2.6

3.9

Paraguay

0.3

− 4.1

− 4.1

2.7

6.0

4.6

3.4

− 2.1

− 3.7

3.7

− 6.2

− 7.8

4.1

− 10.3

− 11.9

Peru

1.7

− 2.0

0.3

1.9

2.1

5.9

5.3

− 1.9

6.5

7.1

− 4.0

6.7

8.8

− 6.0

7.0

El Salvador

− 3.3

0.5

− 1.6

7.0

2.0

2.3

0.4

3.1

− 0.8

− 3.0

3.6

− 2.4

− 6.3

4.1

− 4.0

Uruguay

− 0.3

0.1

− 3.4

− 1.4

− 2.2

11.1

− 2.0

− 2.0

4.3

− 2.3

− 1.9

1.0

− 2.5

− 1.8

− 2.4

Venezuela

0.0

− 2.6

− 0.9

2.9

7.5

6.5

3.0

2.2

4.6

3.0

− 0.5

3.7

3.0

− 3.1

− 2.8

Mean

− 0.4

− 1.6

− 0.9

3.4

3.9

5.6

2.6

0.7

3.9

2.2

− 0.9

3.0

1.9

− 2.5

2.1

Mean 9 countries

− 0.2

− 1.6

− 0.9

3.0

3.6

5.8

2.5

0.4

4.0

2.3

− 1.2

3.2

2.0

− 2.7

2.3

Mean 12 countries

− 0.6

− 1.5

− 1.2

3.7

3.8

5.3

2.5

0.8

2.8

1.9

− 0.7

1.6

1.3

− 2.1

0.4

  1. Annual log changes multiplied by 100. Household surveys used for each country: Argentina: 1992, 2000, 2009, 2013; Bolivia: 2001, 2009, 2012; Brazil: 1993, 2002, 2009, 2013; Chile: 1990, 2000, 2006, 2013; Colombia: 1996, 2001, 2008, 2013; Costa Rica: 1992, 2002, 2008, 2013; Ecuador: 2003, 2009, 2012; Honduras: 1993, 2003, 2009, 2013; Mexico: 1989, 2000, 2008, 2012; Nicaragua: 1993, 2001, 2009; Panama: 1992, 2002, 2009, 2013; Paraguay: 1995, 2003, 2009, 2013; Peru: 1997, 2002, 2009, 2013; El Salvador: 1995, 2002, 2009, 2013; 1992, 2002, 2009, 2013. Venezuela: 1995, 2002, 2008, 2011