Skip to main content

Table 3 Attrition probit regression

From: Great expectations? evidence from Colombia’s exchange rate survey

Variable

 

Past expected depreciation \(E_t[\Delta S_{i,t-k}]\), k = 1 month

−0.61 (2.228)

Past expected depreciation \(E_t[\Delta S_{i,t-k}]\), k = 1 year

−0.14 (0.930)

Financial type: banks, stock brokers, pension funds

0.04 (0.085)

Episode of capital controls (\(D_{2007{-}2008}\))

−0.05 (0.248)

Central bank’s policy rate

0.015 (0.049)

Board meeting dates

−0.06 (0.111)

Forward discount (\(F_{t}^{t+k}-S_{t}\))

−4.81 (6.136)

Exchange rate equilibrium forecast

0.41 (1.457)

Emerging market bond index (Embi)

−0.00 (0.001)

  1. Dependent variable is the attrition function indicator (with a value of unity for missing values). Values correspond to Probit coefficients, not marginal effects. Pseudo R\(^{2}=0.0023\). Total number of observations: 755. Constant not reported
  2. ***, **, * correspond to significance levels of 1, 5 and 10 %, respectively