Model: \({\text{lnEngy}}_{t} = \alpha_{0} + \alpha_{1} {\text{lnOil}}_{t} + \alpha_{2} {\text{lnCO}}_{{2_{t} }} + \alpha_{3} {\text{lnRgdpc}}_{t} + \alpha_{4} {\text{lnGCE}}_{t} + \alpha_{5} {\text{lnTrd}}_{t} + \varepsilon_{t}\) | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variable | Specification 1 | Specification 2 | ||||
Coefficient | Std. error | t-Statistic | Coefficient | Std. error | t-Statistic | |
Short run estimates | Â | |||||
 ECM (− 1) | − 0.561*** | 0.086 | − 6.560 | − 0.549*** | 0.086 | − 6.419 |
 \(\Delta\)lnEngy (− 1) | − 0.425*** | 0.097 | − 4.399 | − 0.423*** | 0.100 | − 4.238 |
 \(\Delta\)lnOIL | 0.015 | 0.024 | 0.638 | 0.025 | 0.025 | 0.993 |
 \(\Delta\)lnCO2 | 0.236*** | 0.067 | 3.524 | 0.225*** | 0.068 | 3.296 |
 \(\Delta\)lnRgdpc | 0.139 | 0.135 | 1.036 | 0.144 | 0.142 | 1.010 |
 \(\Delta\)lnGCE | − 0.109 | 0.077 | − 1.428 | − 0.110 | 0.078 | − 1.411 |
 \(\Delta\)lnTrd | 0.021 | 0.062 | 0.344 | 0.006 | 0.064 | 0.092 |
 \(\Delta\)lnTrd (− 1) | − 0.138** | 0.056 | − 2.470 | − 0.146** | 0.058 | − 2.505 |
 \(\Delta\)lnBrk87 | 0.042 | 0.028 | 1.493 |  |  |  |
 \(\Delta\)lnBrk78&03 |  |  |  | − 0.004 | 0.023 | − 0.171 |
Long run estimates | ||||||
 Constant | 4.467 | 2.7235 | 1.640 | 4.562 | 2.717 | 1.679 |
 lnOIL | 0.099*** | 0.0293 | 3.381 | 0.098*** | 0.029 | 3.332 |
 lnCO2 | 0.465** | 0.2190 | 2.124 | 0.466** | 0.219 | 2.129 |
 lnRgdpc | 0.235 | 0.2757 | 0.853 | 0.224 | 0.274 | 0.816 |
 lnGCE | − 0.162 | 0.1080 | − 1.500 | − 0.162 | 0.107 | − 1.518 |
 lnTrd | 0.239 | 0.1748 | 1.368 | 0.243 | 0.173 | 1.407 |
 lnBrk87 | 0.019 | 0.0916 | 0.204 |  |  |  |
 lnBrk78&03 |  |  |  | − 0.030 | 0.065 | − 0.461 |